The parliamentary vote counting finished just after lunch today. So that’s 4.3 x 15 hour counting days or 65 hours of counting. The result seemed known about Tuesday once trends had been set.

The key outcomes are :

- Fretilin had the most votes with 29.0%, followed by CNRT with 24.1%
- Both ASDT/PSD and PD seemed to lose votes when compared to the presidential elections
- However, about 9% of the vote went to minor parties who failed to meet the 3% threshold and hence those votes basically are totally wasted
- It is assumed that the above 9% of votes has all come from the non-Fretilin parties while Fretilin has pretty much held their supporter base

The seat allocation is expected to be :

Party |
No. of Seats |

FRETILIN | 21 |

CNRT | 18 |

ASDT/PSD | 11 |

PD | 8 |

PUN | 3 |

UNDERTIM | 2 |

KOTA/PPT | 2 |

Presumably a coalition needs to be formed with a minimum of 33 seats of the total 65 seats. It would be a huge surprise for a lot of people if Fretilin could obtain such a coalition arrangement. Most people assume a CNRT-ASDT/PSD-PD coalition.