The parliamentary vote counting finished just after lunch today. So that’s 4.3 x 15 hour counting days or 65 hours of counting. The result seemed known about Tuesday once trends had been set.

The key outcomes are :

• Fretilin had the most votes with 29.0%, followed by CNRT with 24.1%
• Both ASDT/PSD and PD seemed to lose votes when compared to the presidential elections
• However, about 9% of the vote went to minor parties who failed to meet the 3% threshold and hence those votes basically are totally wasted
• It is assumed that the above 9% of votes has all come from the non-Fretilin parties while Fretilin has pretty much held their supporter base

The seat allocation is expected to be :

Presumably a coalition needs to be formed with a minimum of 33 seats of the total 65 seats. It would be a huge surprise for a lot of people if Fretilin could obtain such a coalition arrangement. Most people assume a CNRT-ASDT/PSD-PD coalition.